Hurricane Ian to achieve Class 3 earlier than hitting Cuba, turning towards West Florida



Hurricane Ian, the fourth hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic season, strengthened from a tropical storm right into a Class 1 hurricane within the early hours of Monday morning (Sept. 26), and it is anticipated to proceed intensifying into not less than a Class 3 storm because it nears Cuba’s western shore, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) warned (opens in new tab). At that time, its most sustained winds will exceed 111 mph (178 km/h). 

The middle of the hurricane will doubtless cross close to or west of the Cayman Islands someday on Monday after which sweep close to or over western Cuba on Monday night time and Tuesday morning (Sept. 27). It is then predicted to maneuver into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, passing west of the Florida Keys by Tuesday night, and start approaching the west coast of Florida by Wednesday (Sept. 28), the NHC stated.

As of 11:00 a.m. ET on Sept. 26, the hurricane’s most sustained winds hovered round 80 mph (130 km/h), the NHC reported (opens in new tab). Hurricane Ian is predicted to drop 3 to six inches (7.6 to fifteen.2 centimeters) of rain on the Cayman Islands, with some areas getting as much as 8 inches (20.3 cm). Western Cuba will get about 6 to 10 inches (15.2 to 25.4 cm) of rain, with some areas getting as much as 16 inches (40.6 cm). 

“Life-threatening storm surge, hurricane-force winds, flash floods and doable mudslides are anticipated in parts of western Cuba starting this night and persevering with into Tuesday,” the NHC warned (opens in new tab) Monday morning. “Devastating wind injury is feasible the place the core of Ian strikes throughout western Cuba.”

Associated: Hurricane season 2022: How long it lasts and what to expect 

The NHC predicts (opens in new tab) that Ian will cross over Cuba shortly and will strengthen much more because it strikes into the Gulf. Earlier than the storm hits Florida, climate circumstances to the northwest of the cyclone will doubtless weaken the storm, “however Ian is predicted to stay at or close to main hurricane energy” — which means Class 3 or above — “because it passes close to the west-central coast of Florida on Wednesday and Thursday,” the middle famous.

There’s nonetheless uncertainty as to precisely the place Ian will make landfall on the west coast of Florida, as present fashions undertaking that the storm may come ashore south of Tampa Bay, in the course of the Panhandle, or at some location in between, The Miami Herald reported (opens in new tab) on Monday morning.

“No matter Ian’s precise monitor and depth, there’s a danger of a life-threatening storm surge, hurricane-force winds, and heavy rainfall alongside the west coast of Florida and the Florida Panhandle by the center of this week,” the NHC stated (opens in new tab) in its 5:00 a.m. ET advisory on Sept. 26. “Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches have been issued for a portion of the west coast of Florida and extra watches could also be required later at this time.”

At this level, the best doable storm surges are predicted for the area between the Anclote River and the center of Longboat Key, Florida — an space that features Tampa Bay. If peak storm surge coincides with excessive tide within the area, the storm surge may attain 5 to 10 ft (1.5 to three meters) excessive. Vital storm surges are additionally doable farther south alongside the coast and into the Florida Keys. 

By way of Thursday (Sept. 29), the Keys may get about 4 to six inches (10.2 to fifteen.2 cm) of rain, the NHC predicts, whereas central West Florida will doubtless get 8 to 10 inches (20.3 to 25.4 cm), with native maximums as much as 15 inches (38.1 cm). The remainder of the Florida peninsula may get 3 to eight inches (7.6 to twenty.3 cm) of rain in that point. Then on Friday (Sept. 30) and Saturday (Oct. 1), heavy rainfall will doubtless inundate North Florida and japanese parts of the Florida Panhandle.

Initially revealed on Dwell Science. 

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